About the NELF Scenarios
The New England Landscape Futures scenarios were developed through scenario building workshops with 120 stakeholders from the six states. Details about the scenario co-design process can be found in McBride et al. 2017. The report Voices from the Land summarizes the process and outcomes of scenario creation for the NELF project.
This web page contains some of the same information that can be found in these two sources for convenience, as well as other material. To engage with the scenario maps, please visit the NELF Explorer.
The scenario matrix below contains bullet point summaries of each of the scenarios. The scenarios are structured around the axes of natural resource planning and innovation and socio-economic connectedness (definitions from McBride et al. 2017).
Socio-economic connectedness refers to the extent to which population migration, culture, economic markets, goods and services, and trade and climate policy are globally oriented or locally oriented.
Natural resource planning & innovation refers to the extent to which governments engage in proactive land-use planning and invest in technological advances for land, energy, and water use. It also reflects the degree of private sector innovation in resource use and investment in ecosystem services. This driver also incorporates social attitudes toward land stewardship and sustainability.
Full Length Narratives
We recognize that the NELF scenarios can be challenging to incorporate into your work, especially depending on the audience you are trying to reach. There are story lines, maps, and a whole stakeholder engagement process that went into them which can make it difficult to feel comfortable using the scenarios as your own.
View or download framing suggestions we recommend for Recent Trends and the alternatives. We hope these suggestions help you use the NELF scenarios to support your work!